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Trump, Harris and Nate Silver

Kamala Harris' Chances of Beating Donald Trump Drop—Nate Silver Forecast

The latest polling data shows Harris' Electoral College chances dropping to 57.3 percent and Trump's rising to 42.5 percent.

USA TODAY on MSN · 11d

More polls show Harris leading Trump, but Nate Silver sees popular, electoral vote split

Many polls show Vice President Kamala Harris holds a small lead nationally over former President Trump less than 50 days out from election day.

Harris Overtakes Trump in Nate Silver’s Election Forecast Thanks to Momentum in State Polls

State-specific polls had good news for Vice President Kamala Harris, and polling guru Nate Silver now has Harris overtaking former President Donald Trump. Silver, who uses the same forecasting model that he used at FiveThirtyEight,

The Daily Signal3d

Harris, Trump Duking It Out in Critical Pennsylvania, Poll Finds

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are running neck and neck in Pennsylvania, where she now holds a one-point lead, a new poll ...

4don MSN

Swing State Poll 'Isn't So Welcome' for Democrats, Nate Silver Says

Trump also led Harris in North Carolina—currently the closest state in the race—by 2 points, on 49 percent to Harris's 45 ...

14h

'Two wizards bickering': Nate Silver, Allan Lichtman trade barbs over 2024 election picks

Statistician and prognosticator Nate Silver and historian Allan Lichtman traded barbs on social media over 2024 presidential ...

7d

Pollster Nate Silver says people should be making contingency plans for Trump win

Silver's model correctly predicted the results of the 2008, 2012 and the 2020 elections but about 2024, he said it's still a ...

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