Nate Silver – FiveThirtyEight
WEBNate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t.”. Apr. 25, 2023.
Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?
WEB3 days ago · There is a 13-in-100 chance that Harris wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state …
President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight
WEB3 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Sort by date. Added. Surveyed.
About Us - FiveThirtyEight
WEBFiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
2020 Election Forecast - FiveThirtyEight
WEBNov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.
Final Election Update: The Forecast Is More Or Less Back Where It ...
WEBNov 8, 2022 · The Senate is more competitive. By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 ...
Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine ...
WEBNov 3, 2020 · Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine Line Between A Landslide And A Nail-Biter. By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT ...
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be …
WEBJun 8, 2021 · By Nate Silver. Filed under 2020 Election. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. Welcome to the latest installment of what we’re hoping to make a biennial practice: an after-action ...
2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast
WEBNov 8, 2022 · What Election Day looks like based on polls, fundraising, past voting patterns and more. What Election Day looks like when we add experts’ ratings to the Classic forecast. Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 midterm elections from …
Republicans Shouldn’t Assume Roy Moore Was An Outlier
WEBDec 13, 2017 · Republicans Shouldn’t Assume Roy Moore Was An Outlier. Alabama is more evidence that the GOP needs to be worried about 2018. By Nate Silver. Filed under Special Elections. Roy Moore waits to ...
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